September 8, 2008 – March 8, 2009 – September 8, 2009
It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity. It was the season of Light, it was the season of Darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair, we had everything before us, we had nothing before us, we were all going direct to heaven, we were all going direct the other way – in short, the period was so far like the present period . . .
A Tale of Two Cities
Charles Dickens, 1859
If we look at the last twelve-months in six-month intervals, we can rephrase Dickens’ comments to read, “It was the worst of times, it was the best of times,..”
Six Months – September 8th 2008 to March 8th 2009
Panic gripped the markets just prior to and subsequent to the Lehman meltdown.
Six Months – March 8th 2009 to September 8th 2009
But, like a light switch, following Vikram Pandit’s (Citigroup CEO) comments in early March and reinforced by Bernanke’s comments in mid-March, the market boomed.
We are now trying to focus on which companies are positioned to benefit from the improvement in economic activity.
As we have stressed, “the strong will get stronger.”
We also indicated that merger activity will commence as companies regain their financial confidence and look to accelerate growth.
Kraft’s pursuit of Cadbury; Disney’s pursuit of Marvel; Baker-Hughes purchase of BJS; Dainippon Sumitomo Pharma’s tender offer for Sepracor are just recent examples. We are confident more will occur.
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